TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 51.4%Based on 11K games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 51.4%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%5.5%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...a6
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 50.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 51.4%), based on 11K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (13 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (144 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.4% win rate (379 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.6% win rate (1,024 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (3,021 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.2% win rate (5,116 games)
  • 2500+: 43.2% win rate (1,466 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in Classical (26%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (3,247 games)
  • Blitz: 47.8% win rate (7,329 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (600 games)
  • Classical: 25.6% win rate (20 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (205 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (253 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (675 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (91 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (627 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (2,187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (198 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,428 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (3,469 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (217 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (762 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (681 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (379 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.6%) outperforms Rapid (43.6%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 43.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 144 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 379 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.0%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.5%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 40.3%-47.0%) win rate for white (600 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Formation is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.