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King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 50.2%Based on 13K games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.8%5.5%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Rb8
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 49.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.8% and 50.2%), based on 13K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 43%

1000
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (116 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.9% win rate (833 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.4% win rate (3,839 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (6,283 games)
  • 2500+: 43.1% win rate (1,540 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (49%), worst in Blitz (46%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (3,438 games)
  • Blitz: 45.9% win rate (8,676 games)
  • Rapid: 47.4% win rate (483 games)
  • Classical: 49.3% win rate (34 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (59 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (245 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (550 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (729 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (2,951 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (1,507 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (4,495 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (272 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (886 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (629 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.1% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.9%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 45.5% (90% CI: 38.0%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 833 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.1%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.8%) win rate for white (8.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (483 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Panno Main Line is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.