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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto

30K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.9%

45%55%
Floor50.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.3%.

Measured over 30K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 30K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
30K
Best context
53.7% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
47.7% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Average game length
37 moves
Games that end decisively
94.1%
Draws
5.9%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.1% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.2% at 0-999, 59.7% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (94 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (199 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (265 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (505 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (213 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (443 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (969 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (446 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (699 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (1,680 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (745 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (963 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (2,343 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (965 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,202 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (3,002 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,487 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,438 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (912 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (2,036 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (3,205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (504 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (765 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (740 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto scores 50.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.4% and 51.3% — from 30K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
30K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate?

Playing the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto, White wins 47.9%, draws 5.9% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 30K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 53.8% (1.6K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 50.7% in Blitz (16K games) against 50.8% in Rapid (5.1K games).

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 45.8%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 388 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 51.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 987 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 48.4%, draws 3.9% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 48.5%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 47.1%, draws 4.8% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 48.1%, draws 5.2% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 5.6K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 48.3%, draws 6.5% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 5.9K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 46.7%, draws 8.0% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 48.1%, draws 11.4% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 49.0%, draws 4.6% and loses 46.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 8.0K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 47.5%, draws 6.3% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 16K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 47.5%, draws 6.5% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 5.1K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 40.9%, draws 12.1% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 293 Lichess games.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 47.9% of its games and loses 46.2%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.