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King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit

4.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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3.Ne2
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

42.8%

35%55%
Floor41.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 44.1%.

Measured over 4.3K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 4.3K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
4.3K
Best context
45.5% at 0-999 Blitz
Average game length
28 moves
Games that end decisively
95.7%
Draws
4.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −13.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 37.6%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (226 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (731 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (490 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (440 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (324 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (387 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 34.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (163 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 23.2% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (208 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit scores 42.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 41.6% and 44.1% — from 4.3K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
4.3K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit, White wins 40.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 55.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.8%. It rests on 4.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 47.5% (352 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 44.2% in Blitz (2.2K games) against 40.0% in Rapid (1.3K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 40.1%, draws 6.3% and loses 53.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.3%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 41.4%, draws 3.9% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.4%. It rests on 907 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 40.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 56.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.0%. It rests on 732 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 35.6%, draws 2.4% and loses 62.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 36.8%. It rests on 528 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 44.8%, draws 5.2% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 352 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 46.9%, draws 1.6% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 215 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 43.7%, draws 2.3% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 712 Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 42.0%, draws 4.3% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 37.2%, draws 5.5% and loses 57.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.0%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 40.6% of its games and loses 55.1%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.