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King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit

16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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5.Ne5
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

55.6%

45%60%
Floor54.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 56.2%.

Measured over 16K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 16K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
16K
Best context
59.6% at 1200-1399 Blitz
Worst context
50.6% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Average game length
28 moves
Games that end decisively
97.5%
Draws
2.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.4% · Breakpoint: Never

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 61.5% at 0-999, 53.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (279 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (376 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (85 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (366 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (806 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (221 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (615 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (1,847 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (447 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (764 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (3,086 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (961 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (594 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (2,423 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (1,024 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 71.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (329 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (724 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.0% expected score (338 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (94 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (84 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Continuations (10)
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Long Whip
55.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Kolisch Defense
47.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Cotter Gambit
52.8%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense
39.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Rosenthal Defense
42.6%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Brentano Defense
50.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Anderssen Defense
45.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense
44.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense
46.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation
43.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit scores 55.6% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.9% and 56.2% — from 16K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
16K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, White wins 54.3%, draws 2.5% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 16K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit performs best for White at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 58.4% (1.4K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 55.6% in Blitz (9.5K games) against 56.0% in Rapid (3.1K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 56.5%, draws 2.7% and loses 40.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.8%. It rests on 242 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 57.3%, draws 2.3% and loses 40.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 744 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 57.6%, draws 1.6% and loses 40.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 54.5%, draws 2.0% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 53.5%, draws 2.8% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 4.9K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 52.9%, draws 2.9% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 4.1K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 55.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 41.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 55.1%, draws 3.7% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.0%. It rests on 199 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 54.5%, draws 1.6% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 54.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 9.5K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 54.4%, draws 3.2% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 52.1%, draws 1.9% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 130 Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 54.3% of its games and loses 43.2%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.