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King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense

1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.9%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 54.0%Based on 1.6K games
0%51.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%3.2%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bg7
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense
Analyzen=1.6K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 51.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 54.0%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.4% win rate (48 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (111 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (311 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (456 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (435 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.3% win rate (174 games)
  • 2200-2499: 69.1% win rate (47 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (6 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 54.9% win rate (389 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (951 games)
  • Rapid: 50.3% win rate (244 games)
  • Classical: 48.1% win rate (12 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 34.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 60.7% expected score (88 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (189 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (279 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (270 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (81 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 27.8% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (456 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.8%) outperforms Bullet (42.9%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 38.7% (90% CI: 31.3%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 111 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 311 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 456 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 42.3%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 435 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 43.6% (90% CI: 37.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 174 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 42.9% (90% CI: 38.8%-47.0%) win rate for white (389 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.5%) win rate for white (951 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 41.8%-52.3%) win rate for white (244 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense is slightly favors black with a 46.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.