Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
3.g3
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

37.0%

30%55%
Floor36.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 37.6%.

Measured over 19K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 19K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
19K
Best context
48.1% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Worst context
28.6% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
26 moves
Games that end decisively
95.5%
Draws
4.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −13.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 94.3 · Trap factor: −11.2 · 19K games

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 23.6% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 36.2% at 0-999, 31.9% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.0% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.0% expected score (3,070 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.4% expected score (2,218 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (928 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.3% expected score (1,032 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (642 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (1,650 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.8% expected score (792 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 19.3% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 34.7% expected score (488 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (982 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 28.6% expected score (595 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 10.2% expected score (128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (660 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (117 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (716 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 33.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (132 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit scores 37.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 36.4% and 37.6% — from 19K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
19K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit, White wins 34.8%, draws 4.5% and loses 60.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 37.0%. It rests on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 46.1% (1.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 39.1% in Blitz (9.0K games) against 31.7% in Rapid (5.0K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 31.6%, draws 5.7% and loses 62.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 34.5%. It rests on 7.2K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 36.5%, draws 4.4% and loses 59.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 38.7%. It rests on 3.8K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 37.5%, draws 3.5% and loses 59.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.3%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 30.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 66.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 31.7%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 44.6%, draws 2.8% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 40.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 56.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.8%. It rests on 936 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 37.0%, draws 5.4% and loses 57.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.8%. It rests on 340 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 38.7%, draws 2.0% and loses 59.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.8%. It rests on 4.4K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 36.7%, draws 4.7% and loses 58.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.1%. It rests on 9.0K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 28.6%, draws 6.1% and loses 65.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 31.7%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 15.1%, draws 7.5% and loses 77.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 18.9%. It rests on 300 Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 34.8% of its games and loses 60.8%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.