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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit

245K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.9%Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 55.1%Based on 245K games
0%54.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 55.1%
Outcome Distribution
53.4%3.0%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bc4
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit
Analyzen=245K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.7% and 55.1%), based on 245K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.7% · Breakpoint: 2500+

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (6,356 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.1% win rate (10,788 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.1% win rate (22,600 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.5% win rate (44,989 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.8% win rate (63,274 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.8% win rate (60,728 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.5% win rate (29,379 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.2% win rate (6,865 games)
  • 2500+: 49.2% win rate (225 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (59%), worst in Bullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 58.8% win rate (47 games)
  • Bullet: 53.0% win rate (40,044 games)
  • Blitz: 53.3% win rate (152,326 games)
  • Rapid: 53.8% win rate (50,761 games)
  • Classical: 55.7% win rate (2,026 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,574 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (2,567 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,208 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (2,825 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (5,871 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (2,045 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (4,577 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (14,033 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (3,814 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (158 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (6,945 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (30,042 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (7,489 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (500 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (7,780 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (39,841 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (14,953 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (692 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (8,325 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (37,326 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (14,560 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (517 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (5,049 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (18,123 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (6,102 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (1,846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (4,425 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (586 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (123 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Continuations (10)
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Defense
57.7%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Anderssen Variation
54.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Countergambit
54.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bledow Variation
50.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Boden Variation
50.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Defense
51.6%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation
56.0%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense
50.7%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation
54.8%
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Boren-Svenonius Variation
53.9%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 245K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.2% win rate for white (6.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.7%) outperforms Bullet (53.0%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.2%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 43.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.4%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.5%) win rate for white (152K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.2%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-57.5%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.