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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense

231K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.6%Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 46.8%Based on 231K games
0%46.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 46.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.2%2.7%52.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nc6
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense
Analyzen=231K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 46.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.4% and 46.8%), based on 231K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.4% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.1% win rate (8,172 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.8% win rate (16,450 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.9% win rate (33,187 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.1% win rate (51,381 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.0% win rate (58,050 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.3% win rate (41,127 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (17,283 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.6% win rate (5,461 games)
  • 2500+: 43.6% win rate (346 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.7% win rate (169 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (63,134 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (130,249 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (36,754 games)
  • Classical: 43.6% win rate (1,151 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (4,626 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (2,733 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (799 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (6,492 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (7,962 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,951 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 34.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (10,668 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (18,003 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (4,372 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 33.1% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (12,705 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (30,655 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (7,689 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (292 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 33.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (11,262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (35,611 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (10,684 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (429 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (9,820 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (22,879 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (8,202 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (226 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (4,883 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (9,548 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (2,789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (2,444 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (2,752 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (262 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (106 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 231K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (33K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (63.0%) outperforms Classical (52.0%) by 11.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.7%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 346 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 63.0% (90% CI: 56.9%-69.0%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate for white (130K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.4%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Maurian Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.