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King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense

2.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score65.0%Range (90% confident): 63.5% – 66.5%Based on 2.8K games
0%65.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 63.5% – 66.5%
Outcome Distribution
63.9%2.1%33.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Bd6
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense
Analyzen=2.8K
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.1%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 65.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 63.5% and 66.5%), based on 2.8K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.9 · Trap factor: -4.9 · n=2.8K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.4% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.8% win rate (68 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.2% win rate (224 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.9% win rate (538 games)
  • 1800-1999: 65.3% win rate (981 games)
  • 2000-2199: 65.1% win rate (767 games)
  • 2200-2499: 72.2% win rate (146 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (77%), worst in Bullet (59%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 59.4% win rate (572 games)
  • Blitz: 62.9% win rate (1,757 games)
  • Rapid: 73.8% win rate (403 games)
  • Classical: 76.7% win rate (20 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (123 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (96 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (328 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 78.3% expected score (101 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 77.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 65.7% expected score (212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 64.4% expected score (643 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 74.5% expected score (123 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (117 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 68.5% expected score (528 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 63.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 74.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 85.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 33.9% (90% CI: 32.5%-35.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 37.2% win rate for white (538 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (39.0%) outperforms Rapid (24.6%) by 14.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a sharpness score of 97.9 (very decisive), meaning 97.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 38.8% (90% CI: 33.5%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 224 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 37.2% (90% CI: 33.8%-40.6%) win rate for white, based on 538 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 33.2% (90% CI: 30.8%-35.7%) win rate for white, based on 981 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 31.2% (90% CI: 28.4%-33.9%) win rate for white, based on 767 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 26.1% (90% CI: 20.4%-32.2%) win rate for white, based on 146 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 39.0% (90% CI: 35.6%-42.3%) win rate for white (572 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 34.7% (90% CI: 32.8%-36.5%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense has a 24.6% (90% CI: 21.2%-28.2%) win rate for white (403 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Horny Defense is slightly favors black with a 33.9% (90% CI: 32.5%-35.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.