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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation

1.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.6%Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 45.6%Based on 1.5M games
0%45.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 45.6%
Outcome Distribution
43.9%3.3%52.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...d5
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation
Analyzen=1.5M
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 45.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.5% and 45.6%), based on 1.5M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.9 · Trap factor: +16.6 · n=1.5M

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.1% win rate (262,009 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.9% win rate (427,686 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.1% win rate (390,570 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.7% win rate (251,660 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.0% win rate (115,434 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.3% win rate (37,161 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (7,586 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.7% win rate (1,589 games)
  • 2500+: 52.1% win rate (128 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (46%), worst in Bullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.7% win rate (1,397 games)
  • Bullet: 43.0% win rate (238,188 games)
  • Blitz: 43.3% win rate (721,465 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (512,487 games)
  • Classical: 46.4% win rate (20,286 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (128 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (43,501 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (136,565 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (81,435 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 58.4% expected score (380 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.2% expected score (312 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (59,600 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (217,418 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (147,711 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (2,645 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (473 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (54,816 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (185,514 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (143,616 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (6,151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (340 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (40,455 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (112,387 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (91,246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (7,232 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.4% expected score (106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (23,437 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (51,544 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (37,002 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (3,345 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (11,290 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (15,136 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (10,210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.7% expected score (493 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (3,842 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (2,518 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (368 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (81 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (111 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (115K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.0%) outperforms Classical (49.7%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 262K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 428K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 391K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 252K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 54.2%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 36.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 128 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-56.4%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.2%) win rate for white (238K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.4%) win rate for white (721K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.4%) win rate for white (512K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Knight Attack, Normal Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.8%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.