Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack
1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
68.6%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 1.4M games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 2.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.4M games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 1.4M
- Best context
- 73.8% at 1000-1199 Classical
- Worst context
- 54.5% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 25 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 97.4%
- Draws
- 2.6%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 72.7% at 0-999, 61.0% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 71.8% expected score (26 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.7% expected score (28,601 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 71.7% expected score (51,471 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 72.8% expected score (18,491 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 75.4% expected score (89 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 74.6% expected score (80 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (58,741 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 71.0% expected score (145,969 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 73.3% expected score (74,099 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (652 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.8% expected score (161 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (63,485 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 69.1% expected score (181,031 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 72.0% expected score (120,207 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 73.4% expected score (2,862 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.7% expected score (105 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 64.4% expected score (56,980 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 67.5% expected score (152,030 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 69.8% expected score (109,560 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 72.8% expected score (6,800 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 71.3% expected score (29 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.6% expected score (36,310 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 65.7% expected score (99,173 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 68.5% expected score (66,097 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 71.9% expected score (4,912 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (19,675 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (42,837 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (26,545 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (1,441 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (8,816 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (10,819 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (5,211 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.4% expected score (128 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,724 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (2,058 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (526 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (481 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.6% expected score (70 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack scores 68.6% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 68.6% and 68.7% — from 1.4M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.4M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate?
Playing the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack, White wins 67.3%, draws 2.6% and loses 30.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 68.6%. It rests on 1.4M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack perform best?
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack performs best for White at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 71.9% (99K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 68.3% in Blitz (685K games) against 70.7% in Rapid (421K games).
How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack?
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 25 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 70.9%, draws 1.9% and loses 27.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 71.9%. It rests on 99K Lichess games, which average 19 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 70.2%, draws 2.3% and loses 27.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 71.4%. It rests on 280K Lichess games, which average 21 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 68.5%, draws 2.5% and loses 29.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.8%. It rests on 368K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 66.5%, draws 2.7% and loses 30.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 67.9%. It rests on 325K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 64.7%, draws 3.0% and loses 32.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.2%. It rests on 207K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 62.1%, draws 3.4% and loses 34.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.9%. It rests on 91K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 57.7%, draws 3.6% and loses 38.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.5%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 53.7%, draws 3.9% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 5.3K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 57.2%, draws 3.6% and loses 39.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.1%. It rests on 562 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 70.3%, draws 1.3% and loses 28.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 71.0%. It rests on 419 Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 65.0%, draws 2.0% and loses 33.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 66.0%. It rests on 276K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 66.9%, draws 2.8% and loses 30.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 68.3%. It rests on 685K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 69.3%, draws 2.8% and loses 27.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 70.7%. It rests on 421K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 71.0%, draws 3.1% and loses 26.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 72.5%. It rests on 17K Lichess games.
Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack a good opening?
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 67.3% of its games and loses 30.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.