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Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack

449K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.1%Based on 449K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%4.4%46.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Ne4
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack
Analyzen=449K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 51.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.1%), based on 449K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 18.6% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (7,538 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.0% win rate (14,020 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.7% win rate (25,116 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (40,687 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (67,765 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (107,917 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (104,816 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.6% win rate (70,095 games)
  • 2500+: 41.6% win rate (11,515 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (51%), worst in UltraBullet (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 35.6% win rate (115 games)
  • Bullet: 47.4% win rate (119,853 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (249,259 games)
  • Rapid: 51.1% win rate (76,545 games)
  • Classical: 48.4% win rate (3,697 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,995 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (2,967 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (2,536 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (3,912 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (6,493 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (3,519 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (82 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (7,550 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (11,815 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (5,548 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (186 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 33.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (11,476 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (20,564 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (8,258 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (361 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (15,332 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (39,062 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (12,465 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (884 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (20,849 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (65,995 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (19,734 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (1,333 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (22,859 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (64,334 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (16,923 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (683 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (26,944 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (35,650 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (7,365 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.2% expected score (129 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (8,936 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (2,379 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (197 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Continuations (2)
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense
57.8%
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation
50.2%
Analyze Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 449K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (62.2%) outperforms Classical (43.9%) by 18.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 105K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 62.2% (90% CI: 54.8%-69.5%) win rate for white (115 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.8%) win rate for white (120K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.7%) win rate for white (249K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 43.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-43.9%) win rate for white (77K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.6%-45.2%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack is statistically balanced with a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-46.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.