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Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack

91K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.3%Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.6%Based on 91K games
0%52.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%5.0%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bf4
Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack
Analyzen=91K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 52.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.6%), based on 91K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (361 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (1,590 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (4,091 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.4% win rate (8,895 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (16,563 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (23,438 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (20,779 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.9% win rate (12,624 games)
  • 2500+: 53.1% win rate (2,272 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.2% win rate (35 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (30,204 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (49,235 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (10,652 games)
  • Classical: 47.4% win rate (487 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (145 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (183 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (622 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (782 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (183 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,436 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (2,080 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (562 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,642 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (4,831 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,370 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (4,783 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (9,258 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (2,375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (6,342 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (13,792 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (3,097 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (199 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (6,798 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (11,674 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (2,231 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (5,982 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (5,851 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (770 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (1,454 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (784 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 91K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.2%) outperforms Classical (47.4%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.7%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.7%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.0%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 43.7%-51.1%) win rate for white (487 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Attack is statistically favors white with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.