TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation

183K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.0%Based on 183K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%5.2%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.e3
Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation
Analyzen=183K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.0%), based on 183K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.3% win rate (764 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (3,110 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (7,740 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.2% win rate (16,338 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (30,289 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (47,022 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (45,501 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.7% win rate (26,572 games)
  • 2500+: 50.8% win rate (5,255 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.1% win rate (58 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (64,791 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (98,451 games)
  • Rapid: 46.7% win rate (18,515 games)
  • Classical: 43.3% win rate (776 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (291 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (392 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,239 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (1,517 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (349 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (2,898 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (3,794 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,018 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (5,810 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (8,261 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (2,170 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (81 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (9,940 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (16,481 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (3,655 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (190 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (14,127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (27,585 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (5,020 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (283 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14,954 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (25,903 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (4,489 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (155 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (11,828 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (13,026 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (1,682 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (3,704 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (1,492 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 183K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.7% win rate for white (3.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (36.1%) by 12.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 764 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.7%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.6%) win rate for white (98K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.3%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.2%) win rate for white (776 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Hungarian Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.