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Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.5%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 52.3%Based on 12K games
0%51.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%5.8%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qb3
Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 51.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 52.3%), based on 12K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 28% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 28.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (41 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (123 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.0% win rate (356 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (1,039 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (2,638 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (3,946 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (2,994 games)
  • 2500+: 47.5% win rate (440 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (50%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (2,727 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (7,541 games)
  • Rapid: 45.5% win rate (1,240 games)
  • Classical: 40.4% win rate (79 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (77 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 71.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (201 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (341 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (544 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (425 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (1,833 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (330 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (785 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (2,678 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (467 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (743 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (2,041 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (284 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (145 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Botvinnik Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack
49.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit Accepted
51.6%
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
45.0%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.8%) outperforms Classical (40.4%) by 9.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 356 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 43.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 440 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.5%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.8%) win rate for white (7.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-47.9%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Russian Variation, Accelerated Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.