What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 46.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.3% and 49.4%), based on 1.0K Lichess games.
Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit
1.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellWhite Expected Score46.9%Range (90% confident): 44.3% – 49.4%Based on 1.0K games
0%46.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.3% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%3.8%51.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.g4
Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit
Analyzen=1.0K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
White Win% by Rating
Declines with rating: 60% → 42%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
- 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
- 1200-1399: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
- 1400-1599: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
- 1600-1799: 64.1% win rate (18 games)
- 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (126 games)
- 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (208 games)
- 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (432 games)
- 2500+: 41.6% win rate (221 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Rapid (49%), worst in Bullet (42%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
- Bullet: 41.6% win rate (454 games)
- Blitz: 47.6% win rate (544 games)
- Rapid: 48.8% win rate (20 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (45 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (74 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (49 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (151 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (136 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (293 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (215 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Grünfeld Defense45.8%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate?
The Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.4%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit perform best?
The Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.4% win rate for white (208 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (47.6%) outperforms Bullet (41.6%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit?
The Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 39.5%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 126 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 42.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 208 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 42.8% (90% CI: 38.9%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 432 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?
At 2500+ Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 36.2%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 221 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 37.8%-45.4%) win rate for white (454 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
What is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 44.1%-51.1%) win rate for white (544 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
Is the Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit a good opening?
The Grünfeld Defense: Gibbon Gambit is slightly favors black with a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.4%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.