Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation

335 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation is balanced for Black at 50.8% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.8%Based on 335 gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%50.8%60%
Range (90% confident): 46.3% – 55.2%
Min adv-7.4%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=335
Outcome Distribution
7...Be6
Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation
Analyzen=335
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.5%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 50.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.3% and 55.2%), based on 335 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 40%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.5% win rate (10 games)
  • 2000-2199: 60.4% win rate (54 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (186 games)
  • 2500+: 39.6% win rate (83 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (71%), worst in Blitz (44%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 55.2% win rate (61 games)
  • Blitz: 44.0% win rate (252 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (20 games)
  • Classical: 71.4% win rate (2 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599————
1600-1799————
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Grünfeld Defense
45.8%
Variations (5)
Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Modern Exchange Variation
45.9%
Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Burille Variation
47.7%
Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation, Petrosian System
49.2%
Grünfeld Defense: Three Knights Variation
48.4%
Analyze Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation win rate?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 335 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation perform best?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.8% win rate for white (186 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (47.1%) outperforms Bullet (37.6%) by 9.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a sharpness score of 91.5 (decisive), meaning 91.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 186 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 42.0%-52.3%) win rate for white (252 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

Is the Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation a good opening?

The Grünfeld Defense: Brinckmann Attack, Grünfeld Gambit, Botvinnik Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.