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French Defense: Wing Gambit

458K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

55.6%

45%60%
Floor55.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.7%.

Measured over 458K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 458K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
458K
Best context
58.8% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Worst context
50.7% at 1000-1199 Blitz
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
96.3%
Draws
3.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 54.3%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (207 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (186 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (868 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (770 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (193 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,627 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (2,799 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (686 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (6,789 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (9,314 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (13,670 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (25,913 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (4,914 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (32,955 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (69,121 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (10,749 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (817 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (50,176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (82,803 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (10,643 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (479 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (59,659 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (48,278 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (3,991 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (14,322 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (47 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Wing Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the French Defense: Wing Gambit scores 55.6% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 55.4% and 55.7% — from 458K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
458K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate?

Playing the French Defense: Wing Gambit, White wins 53.7%, draws 3.7% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 458K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Wing Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.8% (17K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the French Defense: Wing Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the French Defense: Wing Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 54.2% in Blitz (242K games) against 54.2% in Rapid (33K games).

How sharp is the French Defense: Wing Gambit?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 48.5%, draws 2.4% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 437 Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 50.8%, draws 1.9% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 51.0%, draws 2.2% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 53.6%, draws 2.5% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 18K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 53.5%, draws 2.8% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 45K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 53.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 42.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 114K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 53.6%, draws 3.7% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.5%. It rests on 144K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 53.7%, draws 4.5% and loses 41.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 112K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 53.9%, draws 5.7% and loses 40.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.8%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 56.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 41.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.6%. It rests on 181K Lichess games.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 52.1%, draws 4.2% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 242K Lichess games.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 51.7%, draws 4.9% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 33K Lichess games.

What is the French Defense: Wing Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 49.2%, draws 8.1% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games.

Is the French Defense: Wing Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Wing Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 53.7% of its games and loses 42.6%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.