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French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line

3.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.9%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 55.2%Based on 3.9K games
0%53.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 55.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%6.1%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Qh6
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=3.9K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 53.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 55.2%), based on 3.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.1% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~56%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.8% win rate (17 games)
  • 1400-1599: 65.2% win rate (10 games)
  • 1600-1799: 61.6% win rate (74 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.0% win rate (405 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (1,501 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (1,535 games)
  • 2500+: 57.0% win rate (340 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in Rapid (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.0% win rate (1,172 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (2,525 games)
  • Rapid: 42.9% win rate (177 games)
  • Classical: 61.3% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 62.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (271 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (301 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (56 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (483 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (977 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (257 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line perform best?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.0% win rate for white (340 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.0%) outperforms Rapid (42.9%) by 10.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 56.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 405 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 57.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 340 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-55.4%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.0%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line has a 42.9% (90% CI: 36.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.5%.

Is the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Fingerslip Variation, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.