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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line

6.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 53.5%Based on 6.5K games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.9%5.1%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...c4
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line
Analyzen=6.5K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.4% and 53.5%), based on 6.5K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.6% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.4% win rate (17 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.9% win rate (68 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (222 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (603 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.7% win rate (1,233 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (1,748 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.2% win rate (1,525 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (976 games)
  • 2500+: 49.3% win rate (99 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (57%), worst in UltraBullet (9%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 9.1% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (2,040 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (3,715 games)
  • Rapid: 57.3% win rate (704 games)
  • Classical: 49.2% win rate (28 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (112 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (89 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (238 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (302 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (342 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (164 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (432 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,074 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (232 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (353 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (986 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (181 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (442 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (495 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.2% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.3%) outperforms Bullet (47.7%) by 9.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 47.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 222 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 603 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 976 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.6%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.0%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.3%-60.4%) win rate for white (704 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line is statistically balanced with a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.