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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System

215K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.4%Based on 215K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%5.6%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...exd5
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System
Analyzen=215K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 49.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 49.4%), based on 215K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.3% win rate (882 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.6% win rate (2,509 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (6,069 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (15,698 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (31,715 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (55,835 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (57,854 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (37,386 games)
  • 2500+: 41.2% win rate (6,888 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.7% win rate (84 games)
  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (67,505 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (121,180 games)
  • Rapid: 44.6% win rate (24,798 games)
  • Classical: 42.6% win rate (1,269 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.5% expected score (324 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (387 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (168 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (1,243 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (956 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (300 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,549 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (2,753 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (738 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (5,271 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (8,289 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (2,013 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (111 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (8,623 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (18,272 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (4,510 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (293 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (13,597 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (34,383 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (7,347 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (492 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (15,002 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (35,727 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (6,882 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (233 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (16,255 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (18,422 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (2,627 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (4,641 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (1,991 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (213 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (43 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Continuations (5)
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Süchting Line
47.1%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Euwe-Keres Line
48.7%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Main Line
49.2%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Advance Line
49.9%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System, Shaposhnikov Gambit
49.3%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 215K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.8% win rate for white (37K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.7%) by -1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 42.5% (90% CI: 39.8%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 882 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 43.5% (90% CI: 41.9%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 11.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.0%) win rate for white (121K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.4%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.9%-48.5%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.2%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Open System is statistically balanced with a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.