TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense

93K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.5%Based on 93K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%8.2%44.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Qxd5
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense
Analyzen=93K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.2%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 51.5%), based on 93K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.1% win rate (72 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (226 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.5% win rate (613 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.0% win rate (1,958 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (5,331 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (14,536 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (25,303 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (33,150 games)
  • 2500+: 48.8% win rate (12,059 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (78%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (23,916 games)
  • Blitz: 46.8% win rate (60,213 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (8,634 games)
  • Classical: 48.7% win rate (482 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (96 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (197 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (336 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (76 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (541 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (1,101 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (287 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,445 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (3,076 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (739 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.0% expected score (71 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (2,751 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (9,713 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,892 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (180 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (4,052 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (17,901 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (3,220 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (130 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (8,505 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (22,410 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (2,179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (6,304 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (5,546 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (194 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Continuations (1)
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line
47.5%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 93K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (613 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.8%) outperforms Classical (48.7%) by -0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a sharpness score of 91.8 (decisive), meaning 91.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 226 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 613 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 11.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.4%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.1%) win rate for white (60K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.9%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.8%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.0%-52.4%) win rate for white (482 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.0%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense is statistically balanced with a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.