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French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack

30K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.7%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.1%Based on 30K games
0%51.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%8.7%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.c3
French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack
Analyzen=30K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate8.7%

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 52.1%), based on 30K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (53 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (205 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.2% win rate (739 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.6% win rate (2,123 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (5,282 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.4% win rate (8,577 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.3% win rate (9,460 games)
  • 2500+: 47.2% win rate (3,129 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.1% win rate (24 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (15,243 games)
  • Blitz: 47.3% win rate (11,989 games)
  • Rapid: 51.4% win rate (2,161 games)
  • Classical: 54.9% win rate (167 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (105 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (269 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (919 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (985 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (2,081 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,683 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (461 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (3,684 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (4,058 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (775 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (5,622 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (3,256 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (549 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 80.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (2,416 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (646 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate?

The French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 30K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack perform best?

The French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 54.2% win rate for white (739 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.4%) outperforms Bullet (46.6%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack?

The French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a sharpness score of 91.3 (decisive), meaning 91.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 43.9%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 205 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 54.2% (90% CI: 51.2%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 739 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 16.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.3%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.0%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.1%.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.1%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.0%.

What is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack has a 54.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-61.2%) win rate for white (167 Lichess games). Draw rate is 20.5%.

Is the French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack a good opening?

The French Defense: Rubinstein Variation, Kasparov Attack is statistically balanced with a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.