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French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit

2.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 54.3%Based on 2.4K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 54.3%
Outcome Distribution
49.7%5.9%44.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bg5
French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit
Analyzen=2.4K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 54.3%), based on 2.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.7% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.7% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (24 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.7% win rate (58 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (60 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.1% win rate (82 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (225 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (625 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.9% win rate (1,140 games)
  • 2500+: 51.4% win rate (202 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (57%), worst in Bullet (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (665 games)
  • Blitz: 50.1% win rate (1,602 games)
  • Rapid: 57.4% win rate (151 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (55 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 76.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 37.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (166 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (136 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (447 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (323 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (782 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (71 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 59.7% win rate for white (58 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.4%) outperforms Bullet (46.7%) by 10.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 41.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 625 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 202 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (665 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.2%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-63.9%) win rate for white (151 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Wolf Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.