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French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation

10K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.1%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.9%Based on 10K games
0%49.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.8%6.5%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...g6
French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation
Analyzen=10K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 49.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 49.9%), based on 10K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 40%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.9% win rate (24 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.8% win rate (185 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (1,190 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.4% win rate (3,359 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.8% win rate (4,158 games)
  • 2500+: 39.6% win rate (1,285 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Classical (32%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.9% win rate (3,209 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (6,408 games)
  • Rapid: 41.7% win rate (568 games)
  • Classical: 31.7% win rate (19 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (69 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (95 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (276 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (822 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (646 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (2,451 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (255 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,276 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (2,689 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (187 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (931 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (342 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 10K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation perform best?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.5%) outperforms Rapid (47.5%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 40.5% (90% CI: 34.6%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 185 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 41.7%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 10.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.0%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.2%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.1%-50.9%) win rate for white (568 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.8%.

Is the French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: McCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.