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French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit

150K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.3%Based on 150K games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%3.4%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit
Analyzen=150K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 53.3%), based on 150K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.9% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (27,600 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.3% win rate (24,477 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.5% win rate (19,077 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.1% win rate (20,922 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (22,931 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (19,419 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (11,682 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.2% win rate (3,051 games)
  • 2500+: 55.0% win rate (452 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.3% win rate (1,521 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (66,273 games)
  • Blitz: 52.3% win rate (59,393 games)
  • Rapid: 53.7% win rate (21,653 games)
  • Classical: 61.2% win rate (771 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.3% expected score (56 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (5,797 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (14,190 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (7,478 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.1% expected score (222 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (7,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (11,422 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (5,626 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (192 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (387 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (7,516 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (7,411 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (3,540 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (430 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (10,612 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (7,673 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (2,028 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.8% expected score (179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (11,967 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (9,273 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 72.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (100 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (10,639 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (7,380 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (1,266 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (9,600 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (1,758 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (276 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (2,698 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (272 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (429 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 150K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (61.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.3%) by 13.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit?

The French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 51.2%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 452 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.2%-49.4%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.6%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.2%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 61.2% (90% CI: 58.3%-64.0%) win rate for white (771 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Knight Variation, Franco-Hiva Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.