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French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit

26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.2%Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 48.7%Based on 26K games
0%48.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.3%3.6%50.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit
Analyzen=26K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 48.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.7% and 48.7%), based on 26K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -3.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.0% win rate (3,464 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.8% win rate (2,573 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.9% win rate (2,722 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (3,664 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (4,395 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (4,452 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (3,719 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.2% win rate (1,198 games)
  • 2500+: 35.6% win rate (132 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Rapid (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (624 games)
  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (14,938 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (8,401 games)
  • Rapid: 42.6% win rate (2,261 games)
  • Classical: 48.2% win rate (95 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (648 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,917 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (878 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (878 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (1,114 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (508 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (116 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,361 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (912 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (314 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (240 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (2,161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (1,025 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (209 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (2,798 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,313 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (143 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.8% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (2,866 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (1,412 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (117 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (3,077 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (553 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (1,021 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (151 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.8% expected score (128 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.4%) outperforms Classical (48.2%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit?

The French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 58.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-65.7%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-53.1%) win rate for white (624 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.0%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.6%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: King's Indian Attack, Franco-Hiva Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.