TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

French Defense: Horwitz Attack

385K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.1%Based on 385K games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.1%3.8%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.b3
French Defense: Horwitz Attack
Analyzen=385K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 50.1%), based on 385K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.8% win rate (11,412 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (21,218 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (37,851 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (63,611 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.7% win rate (92,479 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (82,760 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (52,609 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (19,682 games)
  • 2500+: 51.4% win rate (3,097 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.0% win rate (748 games)
  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (111,028 games)
  • Blitz: 48.0% win rate (207,464 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (62,780 games)
  • Classical: 45.0% win rate (2,699 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (1,910 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (6,608 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (2,862 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (5,163 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (11,532 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (4,385 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (9,831 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (21,282 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6,355 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (279 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (220 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (15,115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (36,207 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (11,480 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (589 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (21,133 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (53,344 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (16,851 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (933 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (138 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (20,928 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (46,580 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (14,495 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (619 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (21,758 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (25,149 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (5,555 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (123 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (12,542 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (6,327 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (785 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (2,648 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (435 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Continuations (1)
French Defense: Horwitz Attack, Papa-Ticulat Gambit
51.1%
Analyze French Defense: Horwitz Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 385K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Horwitz Attack perform best?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (3.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.0%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 43.0%-49.0%) win rate for white (748 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white (111K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.2%) win rate for white (207K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Horwitz Attack has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.5%-46.6%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the French Defense: Horwitz Attack a good opening?

The French Defense: Horwitz Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.