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French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit

24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 54.4%Based on 24K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
52.0%3.5%44.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...b5
French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit
Analyzen=24K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 54.4%), based on 24K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 17.7% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.6% win rate (2,012 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.9% win rate (2,078 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.9% win rate (2,762 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.0% win rate (3,577 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (4,025 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (3,907 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.8% win rate (2,484 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.1% win rate (2,027 games)
  • 2500+: 42.6% win rate (942 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (66%), worst in Bullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.1% win rate (167 games)
  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (6,968 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (12,822 games)
  • Rapid: 59.4% win rate (3,645 games)
  • Classical: 65.8% win rate (212 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (292 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 62.3% expected score (633 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (409 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (1,115 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.1% expected score (528 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 67.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (593 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (1,429 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (681 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (83 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (846 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,891 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.2% expected score (687 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (70 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,143 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (2,274 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (520 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,337 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (2,236 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (306 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (667 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (1,555 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (254 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (769 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (1,222 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 72.0% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (912 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Analyze French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.9% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (65.8%) outperforms Bullet (48.1%) by 17.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit?

The French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 54.8%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 56.1%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.3%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 41.3%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 42.6% (90% CI: 39.9%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 942 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-62.3%) win rate for white (167 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.1%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.5%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 59.4% (90% CI: 58.1%-60.8%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit has a 65.8% (90% CI: 60.4%-71.1%) win rate for white (212 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: Baeuerle Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.