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Analyzer

Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack

680 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.3%Range (90% confident): 42.2% – 48.4%Based on 680 games
0%45.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.2% – 48.4%
Outcome Distribution
43.5%3.6%52.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nd2
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack
Analyzen=680
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 45.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.2% and 48.4%), based on 680 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -8.4% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.1% · Bullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.9% win rate (45 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.9% win rate (68 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (82 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.0% win rate (95 games)
  • 1600-1799: 34.6% win rate (101 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.5% win rate (121 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.1% win rate (109 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (53 games)
  • 2500+: 46.7% win rate (6 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (313 games)
  • Blitz: 40.6% win rate (271 games)
  • Rapid: 29.6% win rate (88 games)
  • Classical: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 22.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 34.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 22.7% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 43.5% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 680 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms Rapid (29.6%) by 21.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 34.6% (90% CI: 27.1%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 44.5% (90% CI: 37.2%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 121 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 42.1% (90% CI: 34.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-55.3%) win rate for white (313 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack has a 40.6% (90% CI: 35.7%-45.5%) win rate for white (271 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 40.4%-46.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.