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Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.7%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 57.1%Based on 1.1K games
0%54.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 57.1%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%3.3%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g4
Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 54.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 57.1%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -0.5% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 73% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 73.0% win rate (17 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.4% win rate (22 games)
  • 1200-1399: 61.9% win rate (30 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.5% win rate (82 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (165 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.2% win rate (323 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (330 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (145 games)
  • 2500+: 52.9% win rate (7 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in Classical (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 55.6% win rate (242 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (728 games)
  • Rapid: 53.8% win rate (148 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (117 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (64 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (215 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (62 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (223 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (80 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (323 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.6%) outperforms Rapid (53.8%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad?

The Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 165 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 53.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 323 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 50.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 330 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 51.5% (90% CI: 44.8%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 55.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-60.8%) win rate for white (242 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 51.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-54.9%) win rate for white (728 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad has a 53.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-60.5%) win rate for white (148 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Manhattan Gambit, Anti-Leningrad is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-55.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.