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Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack

121K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.7%Based on 121K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%5.4%43.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.g3
Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack
Analyzen=121K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.7%), based on 121K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.5% win rate (2,467 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.2% win rate (3,564 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.1% win rate (6,050 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.8% win rate (12,455 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (21,511 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (30,146 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (26,689 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (15,633 games)
  • 2500+: 46.8% win rate (2,534 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.0% win rate (225 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (30,549 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (73,252 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (16,195 games)
  • Classical: 55.3% win rate (828 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (399 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (1,423 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (628 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (950 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,800 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (783 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (1,515 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (3,229 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (1,245 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 66.8% expected score (52 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,962 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (7,314 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (2,029 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (137 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (5,117 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (12,996 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (3,043 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (229 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (6,532 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (18,877 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (4,491 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (213 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (7,071 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (16,537 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (2,936 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.5% expected score (123 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (4,762 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (9,842 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (991 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (1,241 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 121K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (6.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.0%) by 8.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack?

The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 19.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 47.0% (90% CI: 41.6%-52.5%) win rate for white (225 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.2%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (73K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.7%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 52.4%-58.1%) win rate for white (828 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.