What is the Center Game Accepted expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Center Game Accepted has a 43.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.9% and 43.2%), based on 277K Lichess games.
277K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Center Game Accepted has a 43.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.9% and 43.2%), based on 277K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 38% → 40%
Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (29%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Center Game Accepted has a 41.4% (90% CI: 41.2%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 277K rated games from Lichess.
The Center Game Accepted performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 44.8% win rate for white (41K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (53.0%) outperforms Classical (28.7%) by 24.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Center Game Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 37.7% (90% CI: 37.4%-38.1%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 40.3% (90% CI: 40.0%-40.7%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.8%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 40.7% (90% CI: 40.4%-41.1%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.7%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.8%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Center Game Accepted has a 39.9% (90% CI: 36.4%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Center Game Accepted has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (7.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.
In Bullet games, the Center Game Accepted has a 43.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.7%) win rate for white (81K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
In Blitz games, the Center Game Accepted has a 40.9% (90% CI: 40.7%-41.2%) win rate for white (121K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
In Rapid games, the Center Game Accepted has a 39.0% (90% CI: 38.7%-39.3%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Classical games, the Center Game Accepted has a 28.7% (90% CI: 27.3%-30.1%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
The Center Game Accepted is slightly favors black with a 41.4% (90% CI: 41.2%-41.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.