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Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit

319K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.1%Based on 319K games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%2.9%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Ng5
Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit
Analyzen=319K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 50.1%), based on 319K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.2% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.7% win rate (15,494 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.2% win rate (31,093 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (48,766 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (61,208 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (64,376 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (53,883 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (28,808 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.2% win rate (13,617 games)
  • 2500+: 50.7% win rate (1,737 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.2% win rate (1,488 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (162,805 games)
  • Blitz: 47.3% win rate (121,346 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (32,541 games)
  • Classical: 42.0% win rate (802 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (7,110 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (6,170 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (2,174 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (178 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (14,096 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (12,375 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (4,398 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (374 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (22,864 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (18,474 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (6,929 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (492 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (29,892 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (23,138 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (7,381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (305 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (261 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (30,647 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (27,192 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (6,093 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.5% expected score (183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (26,796 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (22,747 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (4,132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (109 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (17,852 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (9,609 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (11,897 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (1,558 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (157 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,651 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 319K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (49K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.8%) outperforms Classical (42.0%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate for white (163K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.6%) win rate for white (121K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.7%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 39.2%-44.9%) win rate for white (802 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Ulysses Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.