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Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit

48K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.3%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.6%Based on 48K games
0%52.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%3.0%46.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Be3
Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit
Analyzen=48K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 52.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 52.6%), based on 48K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.2% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.1% win rate (1,330 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.4% win rate (2,221 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.6% win rate (4,243 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.2% win rate (7,236 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (11,023 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.3% win rate (12,609 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (7,739 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (1,387 games)
  • 2500+: 45.5% win rate (15 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.8% win rate (1,629 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (18,318 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (21,485 games)
  • Rapid: 49.2% win rate (6,268 games)
  • Classical: 41.6% win rate (103 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (424 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (634 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (269 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (850 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (344 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (1,978 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,676 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (554 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (2,727 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (3,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (1,495 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (3,043 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (4,852 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,610 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (3,862 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (7,050 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,624 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (4,236 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (2,851 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (645 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 48K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (7.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.8%) outperforms Classical (41.6%) by 10.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 40.9%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.8%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.4%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.9%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.2%) win rate for white (6.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 33.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (103 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mieses Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.