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Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack

210K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.7%Based on 210K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%4.5%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Ne5
Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack
Analyzen=210K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.7%), based on 210K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.9% · Blitz best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.5% win rate (12,814 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (16,947 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.8% win rate (18,923 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (22,111 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (24,607 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (31,800 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (32,149 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (40,742 games)
  • 2500+: 52.6% win rate (9,958 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (51%), worst in UltraBullet (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 35.9% win rate (626 games)
  • Bullet: 49.9% win rate (78,822 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (101,907 games)
  • Rapid: 49.9% win rate (27,642 games)
  • Classical: 48.2% win rate (1,054 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (4,286 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (5,700 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (2,784 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.8% expected score (79 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (5,422 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (7,807 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (3,570 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (6,091 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (8,310 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (4,237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (132 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.6% expected score (155 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (6,426 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (10,955 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (4,390 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (185 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (6,841 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (12,777 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (4,660 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (230 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.4% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (11,444 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (16,384 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (3,699 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (211 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (11,374 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (17,923 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (2,709 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.2% expected score (112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (19,363 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (19,744 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (1,524 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (7,575 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (2,307 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (69 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 210K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (10.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (35.9%) by 14.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.8%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 35.9% (90% CI: 32.8%-39.1%) win rate for white (626 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.2%) win rate for white (79K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white (102K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 45.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Apocalypse Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.