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Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit

43K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.4%Based on 43K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.5%3.0%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f6
Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit
Analyzen=43K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.4%), based on 43K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.8% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.0% win rate (2,718 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (2,983 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (4,852 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.7% win rate (7,734 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (9,491 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (9,115 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (4,604 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.1% win rate (1,660 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (134 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.5% win rate (410 games)
  • Bullet: 50.5% win rate (20,580 games)
  • Blitz: 50.5% win rate (18,539 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (3,649 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (113 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (1,102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (1,100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (504 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,271 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,379 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (314 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (2,162 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (2,273 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (390 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (90 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (3,335 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (3,625 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (657 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (220 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (3,922 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (4,546 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (762 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (4,196 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (4,049 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (800 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (2,999 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (1,387 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (204 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (177 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 43K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (9.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (56.5%) outperforms Classical (46.7%) by 9.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit?

The Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 41.4%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 39.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 134 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 56.5% (90% CI: 52.5%-60.5%) win rate for white (410 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.0%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.1%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.1%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 39.1%-54.4%) win rate for white (113 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Lasker Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.