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Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation

578 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 52.9%Based on 578 games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%3.2%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d4
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation
Analyzen=578
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a 49.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 52.9%), based on 578 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.3 · Trap factor: +0.5 · n=578

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 62%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.0% win rate (12 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.0% win rate (23 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (61 games)
  • 1800-1999: 37.9% win rate (129 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (241 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.3% win rate (97 games)
  • 2500+: 61.9% win rate (9 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 45.9% win rate (198 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (345 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (33 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 24.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (167 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation win rate?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 578 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation perform best?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (241 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.9%) outperforms Bullet (45.9%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a 37.9% (90% CI: 31.1%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 129 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.8%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 241 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.1%-51.7%) win rate for white (198 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-53.3%) win rate for white (345 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation a good opening?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation is slightly favors black with a 47.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.