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Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation

1.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.6%Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 51.6%Based on 1.5M games
0%51.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.7%3.8%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation
Analyzen=1.5M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 51.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 51.6%), based on 1.5M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

How to Beat This (Move 3)

Best: 3...Qa5 · Black wins: 49.8% · n=1.4M

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (23,580 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.9% win rate (76,744 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (164,403 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (276,833 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (361,651 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.0% win rate (325,109 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.4% win rate (184,648 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (99,942 games)
  • 2500+: 45.2% win rate (21,805 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (196 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (491,165 games)
  • Blitz: 49.5% win rate (828,000 games)
  • Rapid: 47.2% win rate (209,120 games)
  • Classical: 45.3% win rate (6,234 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (10,068 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (10,869 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (2,629 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (29,604 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (36,702 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (10,351 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (52,304 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (86,901 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (24,731 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (423 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (80,482 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (152,404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (42,572 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (1,314 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (94,698 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (209,103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (55,573 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (2,235 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (86,065 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (188,070 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (49,343 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (1,617 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (65,880 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (99,452 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (18,817 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (495 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (54,991 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (39,947 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (4,928 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (17,073 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (4,552 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 22.8% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scandinavian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Scandinavian Defense: Mieses-Kotroc Variation
50.2%
Scandinavian Defense: Valencian Variation
49.0%
Scandinavian Defense: Modern Variation
47.8%
Scandinavian Defense: Main Line
47.3%
Scandinavian Defense: Gubinsky-Melts Defense
48.5%
Analyze Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate?

The Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation perform best?

The Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 48.5% win rate for white (77K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.8%) by 0.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation?

The Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 164K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 277K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 362K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 325K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 185K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 100K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.0%-53.7%) win rate for white (196 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.3%) win rate for white (491K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.4%) win rate for white (828K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.4%) win rate for white (209K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.4%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation a good opening?

The Scandinavian Defense: Main Line, Mieses Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.