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Analyzer

Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit

141K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.0%Based on 141K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%3.6%50.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e3
Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit
Analyzen=141K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 47.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 48.0%), based on 141K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -0.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.3% win rate (1,193 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (2,578 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (6,384 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.8% win rate (11,970 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.3% win rate (22,049 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.3% win rate (27,383 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.3% win rate (28,505 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (32,059 games)
  • 2500+: 47.3% win rate (9,121 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.3% win rate (19,558 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (101,475 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (18,098 games)
  • Rapid: 42.7% win rate (2,055 games)
  • Classical: 42.6% win rate (56 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (684 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (413 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (72 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.5% expected score (135 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,488 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (834 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (121 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (667 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (3,724 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (1,679 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.2% expected score (1,592 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (6,707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (3,180 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (469 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (5,044 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (12,205 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (4,287 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (501 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (5,053 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (17,659 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (4,285 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (381 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (3,738 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (21,969 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,609 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (3,206 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (28,060 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (769 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 57.9% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (8,979 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (42 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 141K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 47.3% win rate for white (9.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (47.3%) outperforms Classical (42.6%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit?

The Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 43.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.9%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.3%) win rate for white (101K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.7%-45.0%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit has a 42.7% (90% CI: 40.9%-44.5%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Speelsmet Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.