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Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly

58K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.9%Based on 58K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%4.7%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Nf3
Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly
Analyzen=58K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 52.9%), based on 58K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~41%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.3% win rate (2,519 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.2% win rate (3,558 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (6,264 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (7,594 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (10,613 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.7% win rate (13,856 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.1% win rate (8,167 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.1% win rate (4,250 games)
  • 2500+: 40.3% win rate (1,061 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.7% win rate (52 games)
  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (15,608 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (30,966 games)
  • Rapid: 49.4% win rate (10,617 games)
  • Classical: 49.7% win rate (639 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (406 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,360 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (742 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (739 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1,310 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,479 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,207 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (2,918 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (1,954 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (3,970 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (1,452 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (3,678 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (4,880 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,882 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,824 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (8,510 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (2,390 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (125 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (2,121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (4,896 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,113 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (1,146 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (2,642 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (452 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (533 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (480 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 58K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.7%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly?

The Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 41.3% (90% CI: 39.7%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 40.3% (90% CI: 37.9%-42.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 25.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.4%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.7%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.2%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-53.0%) win rate for white (639 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Santasiere's Folly is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.