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Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense

108K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.4%Range (90% confident): 54.1% – 54.6%Based on 108K games
0%54.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.1% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
52.0%4.6%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...b5
Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense
Analyzen=108K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 54.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.1% and 54.6%), based on 108K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.7% win rate (8,625 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.5% win rate (7,185 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.1% win rate (8,621 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.3% win rate (11,614 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.4% win rate (12,789 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.4% win rate (15,178 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (18,048 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.7% win rate (20,853 games)
  • 2500+: 50.3% win rate (4,652 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in Blitz (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.9% win rate (1,212 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (39,429 games)
  • Blitz: 51.4% win rate (52,985 games)
  • Rapid: 53.1% win rate (13,108 games)
  • Classical: 56.3% win rate (831 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (1,506 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (4,582 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (2,480 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (1,395 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (3,841 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (1,798 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (110 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (2,419 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (4,102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (1,839 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (247 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (4,236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (4,990 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (1,877 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (264 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (323 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (4,392 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (6,201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (1,728 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.7% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (271 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (6,029 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (7,440 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (1,359 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (79 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.9% expected score (103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (6,896 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (9,866 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (82 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (9,336 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (10,574 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (851 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (3,220 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,389 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 108K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (7.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (56.3%) outperforms Blitz (51.4%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense?

The Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.3%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 53.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-56.2%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.8%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.9%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense has a 56.3% (90% CI: 53.4%-59.1%) win rate for white (831 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Polish Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.