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Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.1%Range (90% confident): 57.6% – 58.6%Based on 25K games
0%58.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.6% – 58.6%
Outcome Distribution
56.1%4.0%39.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e4
Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 58.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.6% and 58.6%), based on 25K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +16.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (538 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.4% win rate (497 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (689 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (1,101 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.7% win rate (1,932 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.0% win rate (4,789 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.6% win rate (7,472 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.6% win rate (6,636 games)
  • 2500+: 57.5% win rate (1,671 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (60%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.7% win rate (267 games)
  • Bullet: 55.9% win rate (8,584 games)
  • Blitz: 56.0% win rate (14,775 games)
  • Rapid: 59.7% win rate (1,612 games)
  • Classical: 49.2% win rate (87 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (161 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (276 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (93 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (215 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (197 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (341 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (275 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (453 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (500 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (96 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (686 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (1,062 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.4% expected score (86 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (1,391 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (2,935 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (352 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (2,053 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (4,884 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (2,066 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (4,231 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.5% expected score (324 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (1,218 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (415 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.6%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 57.0% win rate for white (4.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (59.7%) outperforms Classical (49.2%) by 10.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 50.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 538 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 497 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 53.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 689 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 55.7% (90% CI: 53.9%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.8%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.5%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 52.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-57.7%) win rate for white (267 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.7%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred has a 59.7% (90% CI: 57.7%-61.7%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Lisitsyn Gambit Deferred is statistically favors white with a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.6%-56.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.