Vienna Game: Mieses Variation
268K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
54.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 54.2%.
Measured over 268K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 268K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 268K
- Best context
- 56.4% at 1400-1599 Bullet
- Worst context
- 48.2% at 0-999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.4%
- Draws
- 4.6%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 55.7%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,092 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (8,828 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (6,082 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (45 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (3,812 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (8,998 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (6,593 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (191 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (270 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (5,197 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (10,313 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (6,811 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (352 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.0% expected score (130 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (5,842 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (14,197 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (7,115 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (665 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.4% expected score (60 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (8,630 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (17,012 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (6,444 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (425 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (55 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (12,799 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (24,737 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (5,680 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (282 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (14,212 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (30,222 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (4,230 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (211 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (18,359 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (23,984 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (1,929 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (43 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (7,879 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (2,945 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (92 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation scores 54.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.9% and 54.2% — from 268K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 268K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate?
Playing the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, White wins 51.7%, draws 4.6% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 268K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation perform best?
The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.1% (11K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 54.0% in Blitz (141K games) against 52.1% in Rapid (45K games).
How sharp is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation?
The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 47.3%, draws 3.7% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 49.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 51.6%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 28K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 52.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 53.1%, draws 4.2% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 44K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 52.9%, draws 4.9% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 49K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.5%, draws 6.6% and loses 41.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 44K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 52.1%, draws 7.9% and loses 40.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.1%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 58.1%, draws 0.6% and loses 41.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.5%. It rests on 555 Lichess games.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 53.5%, draws 3.5% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 79K Lichess games.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 51.4%, draws 5.2% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 141K Lichess games.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 49.6%, draws 4.9% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 45K Lichess games.
What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 47.8%, draws 6.7% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games.
Is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation a good opening?
The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.7% of its games and loses 43.7%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.