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Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation

933K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.2%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.3%Based on 933K games
0%48.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.3%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%3.4%50.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nf6
Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation
Analyzen=933K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 48.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 48.3%), based on 933K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (62,535 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.7% win rate (99,038 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (148,315 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.1% win rate (196,205 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (197,773 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (141,914 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (63,706 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.2% win rate (20,870 games)
  • 2500+: 43.1% win rate (2,241 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (48%), worst in UltraBullet (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.4% win rate (2,122 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (292,097 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (459,050 games)
  • Rapid: 47.4% win rate (173,932 games)
  • Classical: 47.6% win rate (5,396 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (94 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (16,299 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (28,344 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (17,658 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (140 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (294 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (27,695 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (48,911 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (21,733 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (405 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (549 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (40,017 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (76,143 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (30,672 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (934 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.1% expected score (522 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (56,136 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (100,672 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (37,375 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (1,500 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.1% expected score (421 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (58,851 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (101,061 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (35,964 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (1,476 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (168 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (45,084 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (71,789 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (24,048 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (825 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (30,555 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (27,033 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5,950 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (15,481 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (4,847 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (522 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,979 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (250 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Max Lange Defense
50.3%
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit
57.4%
Vienna Game: Stanley Variation
51.0%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Analyze Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 933K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation perform best?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (198K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (56.5%) outperforms Classical (47.4%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 99K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 148K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 196K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 198K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 142K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 54.7%-58.3%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white (292K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (459K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.6%) win rate for white (174K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.5%) win rate for white (5.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Stanley Variation, Three Knights Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.