What is the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.3%), based on 1.6M Lichess games.
1.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.3%), based on 1.6M Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 45% → 49%
Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6M rated games from Lichess.
The Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (48K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (53.1%) outperforms Classical (42.6%) by 10.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 45.1%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 205K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 216K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 256K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 295K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 277K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 203K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 102K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.0%) win rate for white (9.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (532K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.0%) win rate for white (756K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-45.8%) win rate for white (299K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 41.9%-43.2%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
The Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.