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Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit

2.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 52.6%Based on 2.4K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.5%6.8%45.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...c6
Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit
Analyzen=2.4K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.8%

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 50.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 52.6%), based on 2.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +7.0% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.3% win rate (37 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.0% win rate (28 games)
  • 1200-1399: 36.3% win rate (44 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.2% win rate (59 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (80 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (165 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (371 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (989 games)
  • 2500+: 47.2% win rate (587 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 49.7% win rate (952 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (1,267 games)
  • Rapid: 43.1% win rate (132 games)
  • Classical: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 22.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 34.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 25.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (72 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (134 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (212 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (266 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (689 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (407 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (173 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Max Lange Defense
50.3%
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit
57.4%
Vienna Game: Stanley Variation
51.0%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Analyze Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate?

The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit perform best?

The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 60.3% win rate for white (59 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.8%) outperforms Rapid (48.3%) by -2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit?

The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a sharpness score of 93.2 (decisive), meaning 93.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 42.9% (90% CI: 36.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 165 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 371 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.7%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 989 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.3%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 587 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.3%-47.6%) win rate for white (952 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 43.5%-48.1%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

What is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 41.2%-55.4%) win rate for white (132 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Mieses Variation, Erben Gambit is slightly favors black with a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.0%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.