TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Trompowsky Attack

9 variations · 3.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Trompowsky Attack is balanced for White at 51.9% expected score.

This opening produces roughly even results, with outcomes depending more on middlegame play than opening choice.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 51.9%Aggregated from 9 variations
0%51.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 51.9%
ContextOverall · n=3.6M
Outcome Distribution
49.5%4.6%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Bg5
Trompowsky Attack
Variations9
Games (Context)3.6M
Avg Length35 moves
Draw Rate4.6%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall

#1Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn VariationTop Pick
1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5 c5 3.d5 Qb6 4.Nc3
Min adv +7.0% · n=13K
54.2%
#2Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation
1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5 Ne4 3.h4
Min adv +6.3% · n=107K
53.4%
#3Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation
1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5 Ne4 3.Bh4
Min adv +5.3% · n=203K
52.9%
#4Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5 e6 3.e4
Min adv +3.3% · n=377K
51.8%
#5Trompowsky Attack
1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5
Min adv +3.1% · n=2.2M
51.7%
#6Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit
1.d4 Nf6 2.Bg5 Ne4 3.Bh4 d5 4.f3 Nf6 5.Nc3 Bf5 6.e4
Min adv -18.0% · n=149
47.7%

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

What is the Trompowsky Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

Overall, the Trompowsky Attack family has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 51.9%), aggregated from 9 variations and 3.6M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.1% win rate (50,304 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (111,404 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.4% win rate (235,353 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (405,809 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (571,469 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (721,288 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (687,566 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.8% win rate (629,455 games)
  • 2500+: 51.3% win rate (145,656 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.9% win rate (21,674 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (1,221,372 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (1,918,964 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (380,308 games)
  • Classical: 46.0% win rate (15,986 games)

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.1% expected score (118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (12,452 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (26,875 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (10,764 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (95 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.1% expected score (204 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (28,604 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (62,050 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (20,175 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (371 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.5% expected score (1,024 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (58,338 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (133,630 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (40,879 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (1,482 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.9% expected score (4,124 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (108,411 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (219,167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (70,741 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (3,366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (8,110 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (170,385 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (304,173 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (84,544 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (4,257 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (6,223 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (234,084 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (396,998 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (80,190 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (3,793 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (1,468 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (235,704 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (397,577 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (50,583 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (2,234 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (393 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (276,617 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (330,854 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (21,232 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (359 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (96,777 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (47,640 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (1,200 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.6% expected score (29 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (9)

1
Trompowsky Attack: Borg Variation43K games
57.4%
2
Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation, Hergert Gambit6.1K games
54.8%
3
Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation13K games
54.2%
Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation107K games
53.4%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation203K games
52.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation377K games
51.8%
Trompowsky Attack2.2M games
51.7%
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense570K games
51.5%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation, Hergert Gambit149 games
47.7%
Analyze Trompowsky Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trompowsky Attack win rate?

The Trompowsky Attack family has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, aggregated from 9 variations and 3.6M rated games from Lichess.

How many Trompowsky Attack variations are there?

This analysis covers 9 Trompowsky Attack variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Trompowsky Attack perform best?

The Trompowsky Attack family performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (146K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Trompowsky Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.8%) outperforms Classical (46.0%) by 3.8% across all Trompowsky Attack variations.

How sharp is the Trompowsky Attack?

Trompowsky Attack games are 95.4% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 35 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Trompowsky Attack a good opening family?

The Trompowsky Attack family is statistically balanced overall with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.6%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 9 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.