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Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense

570K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.5%

45%55%
Floor48.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.6%.

Measured over 570K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 570K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
570K
Best context
58.2% at 1400-1599 Classical
Worst context
43.4% at 2000-2199 UltraBullet
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
95.4%
Draws
4.6%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 57.3% at 0-999, 46.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 65.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (1,778 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (3,237 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,051 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 71.4% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (4,614 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (8,819 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (2,546 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 66.9% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (292 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (10,832 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (20,716 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (5,791 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (233 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (1,407 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (21,277 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (36,395 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (10,092 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (501 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (2,921 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (38,762 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (52,193 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (12,224 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (691 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (2,367 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (53,428 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (61,663 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (11,622 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (458 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.4% expected score (559 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (47,773 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (46,975 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (5,562 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.8% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (48,733 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (32,603 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (2,053 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (14,683 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (5,181 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (79 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Trompowsky Attack
49.3%
Variations (5)
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
49.5%
Trompowsky Attack: Edge Variation
50.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Raptor Variation
50.9%
Trompowsky Attack: Borg Variation
55.7%
Trompowsky Attack: Poisoned Pawn Variation
52.2%
Continuations (1)
Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Big Center Variation
49.5%
Analyze Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense scores 48.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.4% and 48.6% — from 570K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
570K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate?

Playing the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.6% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 570K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense perform best?

The Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 54.2% (6.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 47.9% in Blitz (268K games) against 49.8% in Rapid (51K games).

How sharp is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense?

The Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 52.3%, draws 3.8% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.2%, draws 3.3% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 38K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.2%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 70K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 107K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.6%, draws 4.4% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 130K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 44.5%, draws 5.1% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 101K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.6%, draws 6.2% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 84K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.4%, draws 7.7% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.2%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 47.3%, draws 2.5% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 47.0%, draws 3.7% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 242K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 45.3%, draws 5.2% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 268K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 47.0%, draws 5.5% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 51K Lichess games.

What is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 52.0%, draws 5.6% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games.

Is the Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense a good opening?

The Trompowsky Attack: Classical Defense is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.2% of its games and loses 49.2%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.